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Frozen pre-match forecast · #117889

Brodd VS Hinna

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
08 Oct 2026 · 05:04 UTC
Match kickoff
10 Oct 2026 · 12:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
62.94%
Draw
17.56%
Away
19.49%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

4 – 090-minute result
Brier score
0.2061
Log loss
0.4629

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
08 Oct 2026 · 05:04 UTC
SHA-256
bca0b912b6845ebbd7cbac5b8486b598f20e819e38c8cc2066c858e142bba028

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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