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Frozen pre-match forecast · #117884

Vålerenga II VS Frigg

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
08 Oct 2026 · 05:04 UTC
Match kickoff
10 Oct 2026 · 12:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
53.45%
Draw
18.96%
Away
27.59%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

4 – 190-minute result
Brier score
0.3288
Log loss
0.6264

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
08 Oct 2026 · 05:04 UTC
SHA-256
36c187c36bd4994fb2a9c6edee990a35b51174a3e60c207772a5274371c737fb

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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