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Frozen pre-match forecast · #117880

Eidsvold VS Skeid

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
08 Oct 2026 · 05:04 UTC
Match kickoff
10 Oct 2026 · 12:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
83.74%
Draw
10.39%
Away
5.87%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

2 – 190-minute result
Brier score
0.0407
Log loss
0.1775

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
08 Oct 2026 · 05:04 UTC
SHA-256
8fe3b15ec80601a6588fbde49f16dac9a6ecc54e076fa0bf757315fb2616db3a

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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