Skip to main content
← Forecast archive

Frozen pre-match forecast · #117807

Ringsted VS Hørsholm-Usserød

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
08 Oct 2026 · 05:04 UTC
Match kickoff
10 Oct 2026 · 11:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
23.19%
Draw
20.64%
Away
56.17%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

View every retained version of this fixture →

After the final whistle

Result & grading

2 – 490-minute result
Brier score
0.2885
Log loss
0.5768

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
08 Oct 2026 · 05:04 UTC
SHA-256
e55d67b6608386a6d9183c34f6eea4319f685ff766241eec136da01614a6b3a4

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

Explore public calibration across archived forecasts →