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Frozen pre-match forecast · #117784

Eskilsminne VS Olympic

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
08 Oct 2026 · 05:04 UTC
Match kickoff
10 Oct 2026 · 11:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
39.25%
Draw
23.73%
Away
37.02%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

2 – 790-minute result
Brier score
0.6070
Log loss
0.9937

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
08 Oct 2026 · 05:04 UTC
SHA-256
a73041a9ee22c1b7fce51ddfafce5958cc9e38dbd7bc1f58ae0f9d2de39ee7e7

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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