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Frozen pre-match forecast · #117740

Internazionale U20 VS Como U20

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
08 Oct 2026 · 05:03 UTC
Match kickoff
10 Oct 2026 · 09:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
69.24%
Draw
17.24%
Away
13.51%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

2 – 290-minute result
Brier score
1.1827
Log loss
1.7578

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
08 Oct 2026 · 05:03 UTC
SHA-256
efd9a4e6f9a6c540345d121e7f9b968989fe4313d788188de3e0e219e8a8ff46

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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