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Frozen pre-match forecast · #117433

Sigma Olomouc U19 VS Teplice U19

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
08 Oct 2026 · 05:02 UTC
Match kickoff
09 Oct 2026 · 09:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
66.24%
Draw
16.29%
Away
17.48%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

6 – 190-minute result
Brier score
0.1711
Log loss
0.4120

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
08 Oct 2026 · 05:02 UTC
SHA-256
fe2e7af0cbd7862e15826f8b185f2c5fa54cc3ddfb82f8ac310665fe2a875260

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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