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Frozen pre-match forecast · #117379

Viettel VS Hồng Lĩnh Hà Tĩnh

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
08 Oct 2026 · 05:02 UTC
Match kickoff
08 Oct 2026 · 12:15 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
61.10%
Draw
24.56%
Away
14.35%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

1 – 390-minute result
Brier score
1.1672
Log loss
1.9415

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
08 Oct 2026 · 05:02 UTC
SHA-256
2da8a1c5201c649d65038d6ce2712507f2409918a90e1669df276d4a58aad92f

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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