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Frozen pre-match forecast · #116642

JSM Skikda VS NC Magra

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
07 Oct 2026 · 05:13 UTC
Match kickoff
13 Oct 2026 · 14:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
47.54%
Draw
28.99%
Away
23.47%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

2 – 190-minute result
Brier score
0.4143
Log loss
0.7436

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
07 Oct 2026 · 05:13 UTC
SHA-256
2cf4ab8cdf5a36d941409ccfcc4f7b9f5d2937215631e6b1abc8802a8d76c988

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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