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Frozen pre-match forecast · #116574

Al Salt VS Al Faisaly

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
07 Oct 2026 · 05:12 UTC
Match kickoff
10 Oct 2026 · 16:30 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
19.19%
Draw
24.91%
Away
55.90%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

0 – 190-minute result
Brier score
0.2934
Log loss
0.5816

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
07 Oct 2026 · 05:12 UTC
SHA-256
66b1c9422e69a85efd9b3675c69391ba395485f31a38e315905fa5d07b0dfbec

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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