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Frozen pre-match forecast · #11652

Cetatea VS Voluntari II

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
18 Sep 2026 · 05:06 UTC
Match kickoff
18 Sep 2026 · 14:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
75.00%
Draw
25.00%
Away
0.00%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

2 – 290-minute result
Brier score
1.1250
Log loss
1.3863

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
legacy
Captured at
18 Sep 2026 · 05:06 UTC
SHA-256
16b43ed43ecb2408534e819a5872629655352f36d184a74f1b02fe31aa39cc9f

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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