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Frozen pre-match forecast · #116367

Hyde United VS Quorn

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
07 Oct 2026 · 05:12 UTC
Match kickoff
13 Oct 2026 · 18:45 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
48.19%
Draw
23.65%
Away
28.16%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

2 – 290-minute result
Brier score
0.8945
Log loss
1.4418

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
07 Oct 2026 · 05:12 UTC
SHA-256
7fa4bc1dbac444e0d0d64c20c80132300da9043c097056bd1b3f51f461a9ca83

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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