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Frozen pre-match forecast · #116335

Burnley VS Charlton

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
07 Oct 2026 · 05:12 UTC
Match kickoff
13 Oct 2026 · 18:45 UTC
Record status
Forecast retained

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
44.85%
Draw
27.29%
Away
27.86%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

Waiting for the final result

This forecast is already retained. Grading appears once a final regulation score is confirmed.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
07 Oct 2026 · 05:12 UTC
SHA-256
5c9bd0d5f743569884d54e91c7e468796b9d695c35c78245b1edb56cab82e1a7

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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