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Frozen pre-match forecast · #11621

Highbury VS Gomora United FC

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
18 Sep 2026 · 05:06 UTC
Match kickoff
18 Sep 2026 · 13:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
42.14%
Draw
33.45%
Away
24.41%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

0 – 090-minute result
Brier score
0.6801
Log loss
1.0951

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
legacy
Captured at
18 Sep 2026 · 05:06 UTC
SHA-256
0bee594be373c79b87ea4c02682f60a6512fc96ad341e60e919fca68831005d5

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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