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Frozen pre-match forecast · #11614

B71 VS EB / Streymur II

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
18 Sep 2026 · 05:06 UTC
Match kickoff
18 Sep 2026 · 19:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
58.11%
Draw
32.67%
Away
9.22%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

5 – 090-minute result
Brier score
0.2907
Log loss
0.5428

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
legacy
Captured at
18 Sep 2026 · 05:06 UTC
SHA-256
fcc7e671cc39fce5ce538f8d5d148e43ba177c74e781a7a65b3a6e6b2d175a2c

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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