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Frozen pre-match forecast · #116058

Deportes Rengo VS Colina

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
07 Oct 2026 · 05:11 UTC
Match kickoff
11 Oct 2026 · 19:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
46.55%
Draw
25.95%
Away
27.50%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

2 – 190-minute result
Brier score
0.4287
Log loss
0.7646

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
07 Oct 2026 · 05:11 UTC
SHA-256
47d2b0872c20a7d5751612b7bc5d5b09f7657b3d437c934c00146d6beb481a41

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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