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Frozen pre-match forecast · #115802

Linense VS Utrera

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
07 Oct 2026 · 05:11 UTC
Match kickoff
11 Oct 2026 · 15:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
43.42%
Draw
27.49%
Away
29.08%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

0 – 190-minute result
Brier score
0.7671
Log loss
1.2350

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
07 Oct 2026 · 05:11 UTC
SHA-256
9f54be20fc1ef5480d4c4f66d549de6101bd78f1b7bb50f950ccf346d3a0101f

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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