Skip to main content
← Forecast archive

Frozen pre-match forecast · #115601

Levanger VS Hønefoss

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
07 Oct 2026 · 05:09 UTC
Match kickoff
11 Oct 2026 · 13:30 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
55.43%
Draw
20.50%
Away
24.08%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

View every retained version of this fixture →

After the final whistle

Result & grading

0 – 090-minute result
Brier score
0.9972
Log loss
1.5848

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
07 Oct 2026 · 05:09 UTC
SHA-256
d96aa6005b3a3c34e2589c8613e10c4351f621a672ed4520e133429c14641267

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

Explore public calibration across archived forecasts →