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Frozen pre-match forecast · #115400

Selangor VS Imigresen

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
07 Oct 2026 · 05:09 UTC
Match kickoff
11 Oct 2026 · 12:30 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
86.10%
Draw
9.28%
Away
4.62%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

2 – 390-minute result
Brier score
1.6597
Log loss
3.0748

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
07 Oct 2026 · 05:09 UTC
SHA-256
449d9184e150f9a93441e29eca39bcd854dda85c11d5362cf64c4782f76715be

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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