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Frozen pre-match forecast · #115366

Dedza Dynamos VS Masters FC

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
07 Oct 2026 · 05:09 UTC
Match kickoff
11 Oct 2026 · 12:30 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
40.58%
Draw
28.92%
Away
30.51%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

1 – 090-minute result
Brier score
0.5298
Log loss
0.9020

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
07 Oct 2026 · 05:09 UTC
SHA-256
ff56020311f3801c94ead32247cfc6b425391d025cb9677e44d7af4aa39409a7

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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