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Frozen pre-match forecast · #114800

Třinec VS Kladno

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
07 Oct 2026 · 05:07 UTC
Match kickoff
10 Oct 2026 · 16:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
40.18%
Draw
25.95%
Away
33.87%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

0 – 190-minute result
Brier score
0.6661
Log loss
1.0826

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
07 Oct 2026 · 05:07 UTC
SHA-256
7686c4d447179d4e38d727518eaf1316ec28206a53d280dd8489bb2a9908ebe4

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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