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Frozen pre-match forecast · #114630

ROW Rybnik VS Ślęza Wrocław

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
07 Oct 2026 · 05:07 UTC
Match kickoff
10 Oct 2026 · 15:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
58.62%
Draw
19.97%
Away
21.41%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

2 – 190-minute result
Brier score
0.2569
Log loss
0.5341

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
07 Oct 2026 · 05:07 UTC
SHA-256
795bcd99a63730cb09ed28543cc22682ac4f6c58b6f1ba69e3d1525320bf0cde

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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