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Frozen pre-match forecast · #114608

Shkupi 1927 VS Makedonija GjP

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
07 Oct 2026 · 05:07 UTC
Match kickoff
10 Oct 2026 · 13:00 UTC
Record status
Forecast retained

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
5.14%
Draw
12.03%
Away
82.83%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

Waiting for the final result

This forecast is already retained. Grading appears once a final regulation score is confirmed.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
07 Oct 2026 · 05:07 UTC
SHA-256
122c5be50c0a3a0c8adff3a979b61c60abeb0c13408f6dcdf8d5ab33d6e19dc0

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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