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Frozen pre-match forecast · #114573

Norrby IF VS Osters IF

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
07 Oct 2026 · 05:07 UTC
Match kickoff
10 Oct 2026 · 15:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
44.14%
Draw
24.10%
Away
31.76%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

2 – 090-minute result
Brier score
0.4710
Log loss
0.8178

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
07 Oct 2026 · 05:07 UTC
SHA-256
0abee2acb654898956e760993adf73c146a086de537373736523415ac7df62d4

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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