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Frozen pre-match forecast · #114559

FC Wohlen VS Langenthal

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
07 Oct 2026 · 05:07 UTC
Match kickoff
10 Oct 2026 · 14:30 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
19.09%
Draw
20.05%
Away
60.86%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

2 – 290-minute result
Brier score
1.0460
Log loss
1.6069

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
07 Oct 2026 · 05:07 UTC
SHA-256
5c19b1f07b900776349075558b9612737f9dcaaef26270b9ef2956ca21a8f2be

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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