Skip to main content
← Forecast archive

Frozen pre-match forecast · #11410

Lyn VS Ranheim

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
18 Sep 2026 · 05:00 UTC
Match kickoff
20 Sep 2026 · 15:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
56.42%
Draw
26.16%
Away
17.42%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

View every retained version of this fixture →

After the final whistle

Result & grading

1 – 490-minute result
Brier score
1.0687
Log loss
1.7476

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
legacy
Captured at
18 Sep 2026 · 05:00 UTC
SHA-256
cfce4b0558a8d4b524702f45ab203cbb2263687844e6de9559457ad8da005e0b

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

Explore public calibration across archived forecasts →