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Frozen pre-match forecast · #114002

KuPS Akatemia VS VJS

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
07 Oct 2026 · 05:05 UTC
Match kickoff
10 Oct 2026 · 12:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
29.54%
Draw
22.28%
Away
48.18%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

1 – 290-minute result
Brier score
0.4054
Log loss
0.7302

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
07 Oct 2026 · 05:05 UTC
SHA-256
cddefe973bb03da2581e998a07e496a5be5951c17a5254efaf369a7c743aab6e

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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