Skip to main content
← Forecast archive

Frozen pre-match forecast · #113962

CSF Bălți VS Sireți

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
07 Oct 2026 · 05:05 UTC
Match kickoff
10 Oct 2026 · 12:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
25.35%
Draw
24.74%
Away
49.91%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

View every retained version of this fixture →

After the final whistle

Result & grading

0 – 390-minute result
Brier score
0.3764
Log loss
0.6949

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
07 Oct 2026 · 05:05 UTC
SHA-256
abe9b3c30cf9476b8b3a08a82c0a18431ff7ec68b2f8993226cbb19019fd5d98

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

Explore public calibration across archived forecasts →