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Frozen pre-match forecast · #1139

Dibba Al-Fujairah VS Ittifaq

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
16 Sep 2026 · 05:12 UTC
Match kickoff
18 Sep 2026 · 14:40 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
43.38%
Draw
33.13%
Away
23.49%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

View every retained version of this fixture →

After the final whistle

Result & grading

4 – 190-minute result
Brier score
0.4855
Log loss
0.8352

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
legacy
Captured at
16 Sep 2026 · 05:12 UTC
SHA-256
0258faaab0aca2945f0c347d75e46a69d0e75d2d240f4a4fb1f22d5862956d7c

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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