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Frozen pre-match forecast · #113747

Ringsted VS Hørsholm-Usserød

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
07 Oct 2026 · 05:04 UTC
Match kickoff
10 Oct 2026 · 11:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
23.19%
Draw
20.64%
Away
56.17%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

2 – 490-minute result
Brier score
0.2885
Log loss
0.5768

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
07 Oct 2026 · 05:04 UTC
SHA-256
a85c7f36de1e764183f7aed7d39316b63e257d99ee3b581dd7c500f40d9221c6

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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