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Frozen pre-match forecast · #113389

Slavia Praha II VS Vlašim

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
07 Oct 2026 · 05:03 UTC
Match kickoff
09 Oct 2026 · 15:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
44.55%
Draw
23.33%
Away
32.12%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

0 – 290-minute result
Brier score
0.7137
Log loss
1.1357

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
07 Oct 2026 · 05:03 UTC
SHA-256
95f38faee1916731e713b08a3be104c96f6cb80fb3075b068ca93efedd2de1da

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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