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Frozen pre-match forecast · #113104

KuPS Akatemia VS Inter Turku II

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
07 Oct 2026 · 05:02 UTC
Match kickoff
07 Oct 2026 · 16:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
37.92%
Draw
21.29%
Away
40.79%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

0 – 390-minute result
Brier score
0.5397
Log loss
0.8967

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
07 Oct 2026 · 05:02 UTC
SHA-256
30128df0105ae907ad09ac758fd36bb7c123592e11f4de848a98a2ee5ca3e4b3

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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