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Frozen pre-match forecast · #113044

Brusaporto VS Chievo

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
07 Oct 2026 · 05:02 UTC
Match kickoff
07 Oct 2026 · 13:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
24.91%
Draw
26.56%
Away
48.53%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

2 – 190-minute result
Brier score
0.8699
Log loss
1.3899

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
07 Oct 2026 · 05:02 UTC
SHA-256
0f7dd91fdc40a301d5e29542d87f532e1e78f0586c36625168fd31c096890699

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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