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Frozen pre-match forecast · #112954

CR Belouizdad VS Khenchela

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
07 Oct 2026 · 05:02 UTC
Match kickoff
07 Oct 2026 · 19:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
67.66%
Draw
21.13%
Away
11.21%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

1 – 090-minute result
Brier score
0.1618
Log loss
0.3907

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
07 Oct 2026 · 05:02 UTC
SHA-256
3fa5565f585cc14186e5b161bccd0b391ce25985b703882eee98bd7767a58eb8

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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