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Frozen pre-match forecast · #112953

CS Constantine VS US Biskra

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
07 Oct 2026 · 05:02 UTC
Match kickoff
07 Oct 2026 · 17:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
56.49%
Draw
26.88%
Away
16.62%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

4 – 090-minute result
Brier score
0.2892
Log loss
0.5710

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
07 Oct 2026 · 05:02 UTC
SHA-256
fd1e9bfa0471fb0d509b599a889b4ab8a8fd474cbd155c78532d10eb52cddf38

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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