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Frozen pre-match forecast · #112797

Dubai City VS Al Hamriyah

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
07 Oct 2026 · 02:01 UTC
Match kickoff
17 Oct 2026 · 13:05 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
17.76%
Draw
21.30%
Away
60.94%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

0 – 290-minute result
Brier score
0.2295
Log loss
0.4953

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
07 Oct 2026 · 02:01 UTC
SHA-256
7cea8b24fb5ea52c53d26338bf4bcfb500a2782541a67a091441038c8e82448d

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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