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Frozen pre-match forecast · #112508

City Club VS Bashundhara Kings

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
06 Oct 2026 · 10:01 UTC
Match kickoff
20 Oct 2026 · 08:45 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
28.48%
Draw
22.88%
Away
48.64%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

0 – 290-minute result
Brier score
0.3972
Log loss
0.7207

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
06 Oct 2026 · 10:01 UTC
SHA-256
8294d5440c00bc545d8f0ed835998e8675858c94ea7f37324cabc0163e99eebe

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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