Skip to main content
← Forecast archive

Frozen pre-match forecast · #112502

CS Constantine VS US Biskra

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
06 Oct 2026 · 07:01 UTC
Match kickoff
07 Oct 2026 · 17:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
50.92%
Draw
28.68%
Away
20.39%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

View every retained version of this fixture →

After the final whistle

Result & grading

4 – 090-minute result
Brier score
0.3647
Log loss
0.6748

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
06 Oct 2026 · 07:01 UTC
SHA-256
ee7adbee5e8a9b53b525d4c1b410e9f7ccfd65807d0c2acb88989724bd2277d4

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

Explore public calibration across archived forecasts →