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Frozen pre-match forecast · #112494

Wydad AC VS CODM Meknès

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
06 Oct 2026 · 05:12 UTC
Match kickoff
11 Oct 2026 · 20:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
42.82%
Draw
28.52%
Away
28.66%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

0 – 090-minute result
Brier score
0.7764
Log loss
1.2546

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
06 Oct 2026 · 05:12 UTC
SHA-256
b8c5af962fdc189d15b8aa800bfc6f537306d65c1c8de1e9c3a33d59309b7e44

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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