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Frozen pre-match forecast · #112483

Amal Tiznit VS Difaa EL Jadida

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
06 Oct 2026 · 05:12 UTC
Match kickoff
10 Oct 2026 · 19:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
23.10%
Draw
27.27%
Away
49.63%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

2 – 590-minute result
Brier score
0.3814
Log loss
0.7006

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
06 Oct 2026 · 05:12 UTC
SHA-256
289ad53090fdc1f2a8e94a60b78f1e547a390f386cb3c7a331038310e03f04b6

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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