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Frozen pre-match forecast · #112471

FAR Rabat VS Widad Témara

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
06 Oct 2026 · 05:12 UTC
Match kickoff
08 Oct 2026 · 18:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
71.53%
Draw
20.18%
Away
8.30%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

1 – 090-minute result
Brier score
0.1287
Log loss
0.3352

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
06 Oct 2026 · 05:12 UTC
SHA-256
e51cb9bacdce338e8b397116ce3649e9734dd3a06de32e259979d3bc24a2e5fd

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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