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Frozen pre-match forecast · #112349

Episkopi VS Platanias

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
06 Oct 2026 · 05:12 UTC
Match kickoff
11 Oct 2026 · 13:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
49.68%
Draw
25.86%
Away
24.46%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

1 – 090-minute result
Brier score
0.3799
Log loss
0.6996

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
06 Oct 2026 · 05:12 UTC
SHA-256
35125fdb43e871eb3a97764b29a85315f882d081cee298c4c8971429d64b07cc

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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