Skip to main content
← Forecast archive

Frozen pre-match forecast · #112213

BVSC VS Soroksar

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
06 Oct 2026 · 05:11 UTC
Match kickoff
12 Oct 2026 · 17:45 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
23.02%
Draw
25.21%
Away
51.78%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

View every retained version of this fixture →

After the final whistle

Result & grading

5 – 290-minute result
Brier score
0.9242
Log loss
1.4689

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
06 Oct 2026 · 05:11 UTC
SHA-256
a3aef3ed65a6a7ae9b13f0311603c60c74cc18319fbd638d3571ea5e623efa5f

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

Explore public calibration across archived forecasts →