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Frozen pre-match forecast · #112198

KFUM Oslo VS Valerenga

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
06 Oct 2026 · 05:11 UTC
Match kickoff
12 Oct 2026 · 17:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
34.81%
Draw
24.06%
Away
41.13%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

2 – 190-minute result
Brier score
0.6520
Log loss
1.0553

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
06 Oct 2026 · 05:11 UTC
SHA-256
8a9e7a8fbe4e7c024b62779f4c9698a293b59d45318458a4ecdc043ebcfd0919

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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