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Frozen pre-match forecast · #112183

Strindheim VS Rosenborg II

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
06 Oct 2026 · 05:11 UTC
Match kickoff
12 Oct 2026 · 16:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
70.13%
Draw
15.62%
Away
14.25%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

5 – 190-minute result
Brier score
0.1339
Log loss
0.3548

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
06 Oct 2026 · 05:11 UTC
SHA-256
288502ff5b33389042479de015a1df1f80c056a6f89b1899a89966da94f4a8ed

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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