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Frozen pre-match forecast · #11218

Fakirerpool VS Dhaka Wanderers

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
18 Sep 2026 · 02:00 UTC
Match kickoff
18 Sep 2026 · 09:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
14.85%
Draw
27.04%
Away
58.11%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

2 – 190-minute result
Brier score
1.1358
Log loss
1.9072

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
legacy
Captured at
18 Sep 2026 · 02:00 UTC
SHA-256
92d7615c704fdc5cae67d335007a0aa3f84e89d9ef968cb03b5575b22588d932

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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