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Frozen pre-match forecast · #112157

Naft Bandar Abbas VS Havadar

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
06 Oct 2026 · 05:11 UTC
Match kickoff
12 Oct 2026 · 14:30 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
41.36%
Draw
34.58%
Away
24.06%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

1 – 190-minute result
Brier score
0.6569
Log loss
1.0619

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
06 Oct 2026 · 05:11 UTC
SHA-256
866fb8620329f7a84b6e7580b31d3979bdc9d5f5c9eb587e76d1ecb9b1adfa27

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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