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Frozen pre-match forecast · #11212

Humenné VS Inter Bratislava

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
18 Sep 2026 · 02:00 UTC
Match kickoff
19 Sep 2026 · 13:30 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
27.44%
Draw
29.68%
Away
42.87%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

1 – 190-minute result
Brier score
0.7536
Log loss
1.2146

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
legacy
Captured at
18 Sep 2026 · 02:00 UTC
SHA-256
5e0f0aed9778a1f14fd361a3eb9f62125f05ba284e64657b3197a173edfb9298

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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