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Frozen pre-match forecast · #11179

Buducnost Podgorica VS Petrovac

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
18 Sep 2026 · 01:00 UTC
Match kickoff
18 Sep 2026 · 17:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
38.12%
Draw
39.05%
Away
22.82%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

4 – 190-minute result
Brier score
0.5875
Log loss
0.9643

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
legacy
Captured at
18 Sep 2026 · 01:00 UTC
SHA-256
21e9abeb24811ce1b111028de5277527b4cbd61aa5fe6841cfd828707cb544d2

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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