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Frozen pre-match forecast · #111775

Olot VS Terrassa

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
06 Oct 2026 · 05:09 UTC
Match kickoff
11 Oct 2026 · 16:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
52.93%
Draw
26.78%
Away
20.29%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

1 – 190-minute result
Brier score
0.8574
Log loss
1.3175

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
06 Oct 2026 · 05:09 UTC
SHA-256
c19460d086c3d13d17a9216ac8564f1b0de13793502481f2cee54d2658821ba5

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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